Posted July 06, 2013

Dwight Howard agrees to sign with Rockets: Winners and losers

Atlanta Hawks, Ben Golliver, Dallas Mavericks, Dwight Howard, Golden State Warriors, Houston Rockets, Los Angeles Lakers
(Andrew D. Bernstein/Getty Images)

Dwight Howard has reportedly agreed to sign with the Rockets. (Andrew D. Bernstein/Getty Images)

After a long, hectic day full of reports, counter-reports, denials, twists and turns, center Dwight Howard, the No. 1 player in this year’s free-agent class, has decided to leave the Lakers and sign with the Rockets.

Here’s a rundown of the winners and losers involved in Howard’s indecisive decision.

Winner: Dwight Howard

After living a year-to-year and, at times, month-to-month or even a day-to-day existence for multiple seasons, Howard finally has a place he can call home for the next four years. By picking Houston, he chose wisely. He gets a big market, without the full brunt of expectations he faced in Los Angeles. He gets a franchise with global appeal and a history of winning, without the constant comparisons to former legends. He gets an All-Star shooting guard teammate with elite skills, without the never-ending battle of egos that began brewing almost immediately upon his arrival last summer in L.A.

Perhaps most important, he gets an asset-rich roster in a position to add a third piece, perhaps Josh Smith or Ryan Anderson, while also having a number of worthwhile rotation players on budget deals. There’s no Pau Gasol weighing down the Rockets, no $30 million owed to Kobe Bryant that guarantees salary-cap gridlock in the short term. Houston did a fantastic job of setting the table; credit Howard for realizing now was the right time to eat. By joining the Rockets, Howard has the opportunity to play for a team that should be among the top four or five in the Western Conference for the duration of his contract, including 2013-14. That wasn’t something the Lakers, with Bryant on the mend, could promise.

Loser: Dwight Howard

The end of the “Dwightmare” offered Howard the chance to do some real reputation repair. After years of coming off flaky and immature as he worked his way out of Orlando and struggled to find his footing in L.A., the whole NBA world was watching and waiting eagerly for his decision. This was a rare opportunity for Howard to own the message.

So much for that. Instead of delivering a clear choice with a thorough explanation of his reasoning, Howard’s decision to join the Rockets came out on Twitter, where it was immediately flooded with conflicting information, much of it provided by his agent. In the chaos, which took hours to resolve and could have been put to bed with a single Twitter message from Howard himself, all of those same old negative perceptions of Howard were allowed to flourish. The world groaned together when he reportedly “waffled” on Friday night, before telling Lakers general manager Mitch Kupchak that he was leaving.

Of course, it must be mentioned that the confusion kept Howard in the spotlight, and his following on Twitter swelled by tens of thousands on Friday. Perhaps he is operating by the code that all attention is good attention. If so, the last few years appear to have taught him nothing. To be clear, Howard won far more than he lost this week, but this does wind up as a major missed opportunity.

Winner: Rockets GM Daryl Morey

Any executive who beats the Lakers in a head-to-head competition for the premier free agent of a given summer is a winner, let alone one who was at a disadvantage by being unable to offer a five-year deal. Morey’s positioning for Howard was methodical and took years to develop, with numerous rejections along the way. He deserves full credit not only for his asset collection but also for his perseverance and attention to details. Does it really matter that the Rockets brought Hakeem Olajuwon to L.A. and included an iPad in their pitch to Howard? Who knows, but nothing was left to chance.

In less than a year, Morey converted Kyle Lowry, Jeremy Lamb and Kevin Martin into James Harden and Howard. He didn’t win 2013 Executive of the Year, but he is well positioned as an early leader for the 2014 award.

Losers: Los Angeles Lakers

As frustrating as Howard can be, and as frustrating as the 2012-13 Lakers season was, life without him and without anything meaningful in return for him is worse than life with him. Howard’s departure puts L.A. in a very tough position, at least for next season. Even with Bryant, Gasol and Steve Nash fully healthy, the Lakers simply don’t have the depth of talent or salary-cap means to make themselves major players in the ever-competitive Western Conference.

With the threat of a massive luxury bill looming, the Lakers must now consider using their amnesty clause to dump salary and punt the 2013-14 season. L.A. projects to have almost totally clear books next summer and will have substantially more flexibility to construct a roster built around star players in their primes. Although the Lakers have missed the postseason just once since 2005, this is a pretty good year to bite the bullet on a lottery trip, given the talent that should be available.

Winners: Orlando Magic

The Point Forward revisited last year’s four-team blockbuster trade that landed Howard in Los Angeles from Orlando during the middle of the season, concluding that the Lakers still came out on top, as long as Howard re-signed. Friday’s departure casts the trade in a different light for one team, but it’s not the Lakers.

Dumping Andrew Bynum for a year of Howard still looks like a fine move for the Lakers. But Orlando, harshly criticized at the time, can enjoy a minute of puffy-chested vindication. At least two of the pieces the Magic obtained in the Howard deal — Nikola Vucevic and Arron Afflalo — are quality assets, now and for the duration of their respective deals.  Meanwhile, Philadelphia has reformulated its roster in the wake of Bynum’s lost season the Lakers have to regroup after losing Howard and the Nuggets watched their major acqusition, Andre Iguodala, bolt for the Warriors on Friday. By process of elimination, the Magic are the only team left standing on this one.

The cherry on top? The Nuggets owe the Magic a first-round pick in the 2014 draft, too. Losing Howard was hard, and the Magic still have some cap maneuvering to get through, but they are well down the road to daylight.

Losers: Oklahoma City Thunder

The Point Forward liked the Harden trade for Oklahoma City more than many people, and it was most unfortunate that Russell Westbrook suffered a season-ending knee injury just as the Thunder were prepared to put the logic behind the trade to the test in the postseason. With Martin departing Oklahoma City for Minnesota without compensation this summer, the Thunder’s haul for Harden is now down to Jeremy Lamb, 2013 lottery pick Steven Adams and picks.

The development of Lamb and Adams will eventually determine how bad that exchange winds up looking, but there’s no debating that Harden’s arrival in Houston was a game-changer for Howard. One might say Thunder GM Sam Presti is now largely responsible for building two contenders in the West. This still is far from a complete loss: The Rockets and Thunder are in different divisions, which softens the blow, and if you had to choose between the two rosters you would still take Oklahoma City’s by a country mile.

Winner: James Harden

Many argued last year that Harden was faced with a choice: He could get max money from a rebuilding team or he could make a financial sacrifice and remain with the championship-contending Thunder. Voila, Harden now has the best of both worlds. Set to enter the first year of a five-year maximum contract, Harden has a trip to the postseason with the Rockets under his belt and, now, an All-Star center in the fold. I guess this is what they mean by false dichotomy.

7 comments
Steve Moore
Steve Moore

Look for NBA to rig 2014 draft so Lakers get Wiggins once they enter lottery.

idenchasy
idenchasy

Winner: The Los Angeles Clippers! With the Lakers set to finish a year under .500 and miss the playoffs, the reloaded Clips are now the premier basketball squad in LA. Compare the opening day starting lineups: CP3, Blake Griffin, JJ Redick, DeAndre Jordan, and either Matt Barnes or Jared Dudley for the Clippers vs. Pau Gasol, Jordan Hill, Steve Blake, Steve Nash, and (maybe) Metta World Peace. Benches are Jody Meeks and, uh... ??? vs. Chauncey Billups, Jamal Crawford, Ryan Hollins, Matt Barnes (or Jared Dudley), and Lamar Odom.

Oh yeah, and Doc Rivers vs. Mike D'Antoni.

Talk about a new era in full swing!

robertsucks
robertsucks

Winners:  everyone that enjoys watching an overhyped prima donna like Kobe have to get the results he deserves - losses.  Ball hogs and ego maniacs don't deserve to take the credit for just winning - now Kobe can take full credit for losing. 

sbrown823
sbrown823

And if Nicholson, who is looking noticeably bigger after spending time in the weight room, improves even better.

sbrown823
sbrown823

Actually, the Magic may have a hard time duplicating their success from last year in terms of tanking for a higher lottery pick.  If you spreadsheet it out, Vuc/Davis/Harris/Afflalo/Harkless/Oladipo can all get 28-30 minutes a game due to their multi-positional abilities (allowing that Harkless, AA and Oladipo can get minutes at both guard and forward and Harris can play either forward spot).  Jameer will get major minutes at point, with E'Twann backing him up.  If either Lamb, who played point in college, or Oladipo can get productive minutes at point, this could be an interesting team.  I would certainly be a lot of talent with young legs coming at you.  We get two picks in 2014, ours and one of Denver's and Denver just lost Iggy, so that pick might be better than expected.  A lottery pick of our own and a 15-20 pick from Denver might actually have some worth.

jcnewen.fjc
jcnewen.fjc

Dwight should have stayed. Knowing Jim Buss, D'Antoni would have been fired five games into the season like Mike Brown.